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2024-12-13 04:46:41
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A-shares: Hong Kong stocks exploded in late trading. Tomorrow (December 10th), where will the stock market go?Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 2,040, while the number of individual stocks fell by 3,216. Today, it is obvious that the index is stable, but individual stocks began to make up for the decline. There was mainly a style switch between the small ticket and the big ticket in the session, but unfortunately the market didn't buy it, and even triggered a sharp dive before noon. Combined with the positive after-hours meeting, the worst thing today is the wave of people who cut meat in the plate.After the official media blew on the weekend, as a result, today's A-shares just rallied and closed a shrinking cross star. Needless to say, after all, it was mainly speculation, so all kinds of catalysis and cashing in the session were staged at the same time, which seemed a bit chaotic. The key is that the after-hours meeting will be good, and both Hong Kong stocks and A50 index will rise violently. So where will Big A go tomorrow?


In fact, I have been releasing water on the expectation before, but I really haven't waited yet, and the RRR cut in the fourth quarter is still missing. The contents of this meeting were clearly defined, and the monetary policy changed from prudent to moderately loose. Coupled with the proactive fiscal policy, I can only remind you that there is no bear market in easing. Next year is still a big bull market, please don't stay away from the market and cherish the rare opportunity to turn over!If you deal with it, it will open higher tomorrow, but it is suitable for high-throwing and low-sucking operation, not suitable for chasing up, remember! Everything is based on the closing price, not standing at 3489.79 points, at most it is a small high point, and it is still a low-sucking opportunity if you step back; However, if the closing price stands at 3489.79, the adjustment level and nature may change. We will talk about this at that time. Now, we just need to know that we should not chase after this position.Returning to the disk, today's market polarization is actually that hot money and institutional funds are competing for dominance, but hot money is beginning to cut high and low, and domestic institutions have a net outflow of 69 billion. After the introduction of the conference, institutions are very embarrassed. There is a high probability that the style switching trip in November will continue, but this position is definitely not suitable for direct acceleration.


To sum up, the top management doesn't want to go crazy here, but wants to go slow, so if the 100-point high opening is staged again tomorrow, they should be careful and focus on the closing price. As long as it is lower than 3489.79 points, there is basically no need to worry about structural risks. On the contrary, if it is higher than 3489.79 points, we should pay attention to the structural pressure later, and there is a great risk of structural adjustment.Because the technical side still faces the same problem on November 8, that is, once the closing price is higher than 3489.78, it will face the technical suppression of daily deviation. Therefore, we should make two preparations: First, we should accelerate directly and digest the technical deviation here. However, this process may be very long. After all, the index has not fallen much, but the MACD indicator is far from the peak, which is difficult to digest easily.In fact, I have been releasing water on the expectation before, but I really haven't waited yet, and the RRR cut in the fourth quarter is still missing. The contents of this meeting were clearly defined, and the monetary policy changed from prudent to moderately loose. Coupled with the proactive fiscal policy, I can only remind you that there is no bear market in easing. Next year is still a big bull market, please don't stay away from the market and cherish the rare opportunity to turn over!

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